Smile-A-Lot used a weighted moving average forecasting model for its nationwide demand with the following results. Use the information below:
Actual Historical Demand Weighted Moving Average Forecast
65 60
60 62
63 60
1. Calculate bias. (Round to 2 decimal places)
2. Calculate MAD. (Round to 2 decimal places)
3. Calculate MAPE (Round to 3 decimal places)
Solution
In the above data set we need to first calculate the errors and absolute errors for all the periods
Where Error = Actual value – forecasted value
Absolute error = absolute value of error
So using